Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:28:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4C
0x4c95…b1af
sports · 171 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$59 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$47 · open −$16
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$20
Realized−$47
Unrealized−$16
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses73 / 88
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions10
Markets (closed)161 / 171
History coverage4d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day69.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 10 History 161 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$21
7 days−$47
14 days−$47
30 days−$47
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee Zeynep Sonmez 51¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+95%)
Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5) Dallas Wings 51¢ 52¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Team Heretics Academy 50¢ 68¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+37%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 17¢ 7¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-59%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BetBoom Team 24¢ 14¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-44%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Taylah Preston Oksana Selekhmeteva 23¢ 6¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-74%)
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner G2 Esports 66¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will DR Congo vs. Chile end in a draw? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Mexico 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5) Miami Marlins 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 Over 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries Phoenix Mercury 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Martin Landaluce 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Sandvikens IF vs. Falkenbergs FF: Draw at halftime? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Hungary vs. Kazakhstan end in a draw? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 5.5 Over 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Modena: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Julia Grabher Andrea Lazaro Garcia 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Houston Astros 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Kaitlin Quevedo 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Petr Brunclik 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec Jun 13 $10 +$7 +74%
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -99%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$4 +72%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $5 +$1 +11%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Jun 13 $3 +$2 +58%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Katie Volynets Jun 13 $4 −$4 -99%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Anna Blinkova Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $5 +$1 +24%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 13 $5 +$3 +60%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 13 $5 +$2 +43%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $3 +$5 +158%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Jun 13 $0 $0 +257%
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $5 +$6 +118%
Will Audax CS Italiano win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: Draw at halftime? Jun 13 $5 +$6 +130%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $5 +$6 +134%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $2 +$2 +79%
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 12 $3 +$1 +47%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $4 +$21 +580%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $5 +$2 +41%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $2 +$1 +41%
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Jun 12 $1 +$2 +206%
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $1 +$1 +164%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 12 $4 +$3 +64%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $2 +$1 +49%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $3 +$2 +59%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% −$67
other 4% −$16
crypto 1% +$21
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Team Heretics Academy 50¢ $3 27m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 24¢ $4 32m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Zeynep Sonmez 51¢ $3 37m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Taylah Preston BUY Oksana Selekhmeteva 23¢ $1 44m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 17¢ $5 45m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec BUY Viktorija Golubic 67¢ $5 59m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 25¢ $2 1h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 42¢ $3 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 Esports 66¢ $4 1h
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 61¢ $4 1h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw BUY Daniel Galan 40¢ $5 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 Esports 100¢ $9 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec BUY Viktorija Golubic 49¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 100¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 42¢ $5 2h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 Esports 58¢ $5 2h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa SELL Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 73¢ $9 2h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron BUY Daniel Evans 32¢ $4 2h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 39¢ $5 2h
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 52¢ $0 2h
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 52¢ $5 2h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Dino Prizmic 60¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 90¢ $5 3h
Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5) BUY Dallas Wings 51¢ $5 4h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi BUY Johannus Monday 25¢ $2 4h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi BUY Johannus Monday 25¢ $1 4h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Martin Landaluce 57¢ $5 4h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 35¢ $3 4h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Katie Volynets BUY Panna Udvardy 53¢ $4 5h
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic BUY Katie Boulter 53¢ $5 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-6.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 161 +3.0% -6.8% 45% 42% -21.2%
≤30d 161 +3.0% -6.8% 45% 42% -21.2%
≤90d 161 +3.0% -6.8% 45% 42% -21.2%
all 161 +3.0% -6.8% 45% 42% -21.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover69.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.8% 42% -21.2%
10% ← realistic here -15.7% 35% -28.7%
15% -23.8% 32% -35.6%
20% -31.3% 27% -41.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.66 · official $19.07 (match) · 294 history records