trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 28 | +0.5% | -9.0% | 32% | 21% | -11.0% |
| ≤30d | 30 | -2.8% | -12.0% | 30% | 20% | -13.0% |
| ≤90d | 30 | -2.8% | -12.0% | 30% | 20% | -13.0% |
| all | 30 | -2.8% | -12.0% | 30% | 20% | -13.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.0% | 20% | -13.0% |
| 10% | -20.4% | 13% | -21.3% |
| 15% | -28.1% | 13% | -28.9% |
| 20% | -35.2% | 10% | -35.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 36¢ | 44¢ | $100 | $121 | +$21 (+21%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 18¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+14%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 7¢ | $10 | $7 | −$3 (-32%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $11 | −$2 | -20% |
| Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $2 | −$1 | -65% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $94 | +$15 | +16% |
| Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $11 | −$5 | -51% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $11 | −$7 | -67% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $11 | −$10 | -94% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $21 | −$2 | -9% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $11 | −$2 | -15% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $11 | −$1 | -12% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $96 | +$7 | +8% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $97 | +$7 | +7% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $21 | −$4 | -18% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $22 | −$14 | -62% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $82 | +$30 | +37% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $26 | −$24 | -90% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $2 | +$15 | +711% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $11 | +$9 | +90% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $11 | −$3 | -28% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $21 | +$26 | +121% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $81 | +$14 | +18% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $11 | −$6 | -58% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$3 | -48% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $128 | +$6 | +5% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $45 | −$18 | -40% |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$1 | -14% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $21 | −$18 | -85% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $21 | −$3 | -12% |