Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:47:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4C
0x4c7c…c416
sports · 55 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$228 +20%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$255 · open −$27
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$134
Realized+$255
Unrealized−$27
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses20 / 26
Est. fees paid−$16
Open positions9
Markets (closed)46 / 55
History coverage7d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day35.2
Drawdown33%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 9 History 46 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$53
7 days+$261
14 days+$255
30 days+$255
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 59¢ 62¢ $26 $28 +$1 (+5%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 72¢ 66¢ $25 $23 −$2 (-10%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 42¢ 68¢ $13 $21 +$8 (+62%)
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 60¢ 64¢ $18 $19 +$1 (+6%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 70¢ 69¢ $17 $17 −$0 (-0%)
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 52¢ 52¢ $16 $16 +$0 (+0%)
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 52¢ 50¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 B8 16¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 23¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Monte 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 56¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 46¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 M80 24¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 14¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 GamerLegion 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Lynn Vision 33¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Vitality 7¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 FlyQuest 23¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Over 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 5¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 53¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $21 +$9 +44%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $148 +$130 +88%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $93 −$18 -20%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $7 $0 +4%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $74 +$25 +34%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $32 −$1 -4%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $6 −$6 -99%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $7 −$6 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $4 +$8 +188%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $21 −$20 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $9 −$9 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $41 −$41 -99%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $7 −$7 -99%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 10 $61 +$92 +151%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $20 +$10 +52%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $36 +$4 +11%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $10 −$4 -39%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $20 −$9 -48%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $52 +$11 +21%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $59 +$12 +20%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $22 +$13 +59%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $28 +$32 +116%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $9 −$9 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $25 +$22 +86%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $14 +$45 +310%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $2 −$1 -51%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $8 +$17 +216%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $12 −$11 -99%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $6 −$6 -98%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 06 $6 −$1 -18%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $8 −$5 -63%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $8 +$4 +44%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $11 +$3 +24%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $0 $0 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 06 $45 +$15 +32%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $9 +$6 +64%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $7 −$7 -98%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $15 −$15 -98%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $7 −$1 -20%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $6 −$6 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 92% +$217
other 8% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 69¢ $7 22m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 39¢ $4 31m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 42¢ $4 32m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 71¢ $7 43m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 46¢ $5 46m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 73¢ $11 46m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 73¢ $7 47m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 70¢ $11 53m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 21¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 6¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 37¢ $4 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 27¢ $3 2h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 15¢ $3 2h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 16¢ $3 2h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 16¢ $3 2h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 17¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 17¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 24¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 35¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 35¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 35¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 35¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 35¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 35¢ $1 3h
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 59¢ $15 3h
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 53¢ $8 3h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $2 15h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 6¢ $1 16h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner SELL Spirit 84¢ $7 16h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 93¢ $53 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-22.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 -12.3% -20.7% 44% 40% +20.6%
≤30d 46 -14.2% -22.4% 43% 39% +19.7%
≤90d 46 -14.2% -22.4% 43% 39% +19.7%
all 46 -14.2% -22.4% 43% 39% +19.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.4% 39% +19.7%
10% ← realistic here -29.8% 33% +8.3%
15% -36.6% 28% -2.2%
20% -42.8% 24% -11.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $133.52 · official $133.67 (match) · 262 history records