trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | +18.1% | +6.9% | 100% | 100% | +6.9% |
| ≤90d | 29 | -7.4% | -16.2% | 59% | 59% | -4.3% |
| all | 164 | -20.5% | -28.1% | 43% | 42% | -15.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -28.1% | 42% | -15.7% |
| 10% | -34.9% | 33% | -23.8% |
| 15% | -41.2% | 24% | -31.1% |
| 20% | -47.0% | 18% | -37.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-22? | No | 89¢ | 97¢ | $53 | $58 | +$5 (+9%) |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays | Tampa Bay Rays | 0¢ | 64¢ | $0 | $38 | +$38 (+0%) |
| Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? | No | 0¢ | 84¢ | $0 | $35 | +$35 (+0%) |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22? | No | 72¢ | 70¢ | $4 | $4 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 68¢ | 80¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+18%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-04? | Jun 08 | $61 | +$11 | +18% |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03? | May 04 | $12 | +$8 | +70% |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto end in a draw? | May 03 | $42 | +$17 | +42% |
| Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-16? | May 03 | $54 | +$6 | +11% |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Apr 16 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Rangers vs. Lightning | Apr 16 | $31 | −$31 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? | Apr 16 | $11 | +$2 | +23% |
| 76ers vs. Spurs | Apr 15 | $20 | +$5 | +27% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets | Apr 15 | $20 | +$7 | +34% |
| Raptors vs. Celtics | Apr 15 | $51 | +$9 | +18% |
| Suns vs. Bulls | Apr 06 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Hornets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 06 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Clippers | Apr 05 | $33 | −$33 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Pistons | Apr 05 | $40 | +$20 | +50% |
| Suns vs. Hornets | Apr 05 | $41 | +$19 | +46% |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Apr 02 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Kraken vs. Lightning | Apr 02 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Kings vs. Raptors | Apr 02 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Wizards | Apr 02 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Magic | Apr 02 | $27 | −$27 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Pacers | Apr 01 | $14 | +$41 | +300% |
| Magic vs. Raptors | Apr 01 | $32 | +$28 | +89% |
| Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers | Mar 29 | $1 | $0 | +30% |
| Knicks vs. Hornets | Mar 29 | $32 | +$28 | +85% |
| Kings vs. Magic | Mar 29 | $54 | +$6 | +11% |
| Rockets vs. Timberwolves | Mar 26 | $19 | +$21 | +108% |
| Lakers vs. Pacers | Mar 26 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Suns | Mar 25 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Magic vs. Cavaliers | Mar 25 | $32 | +$8 | +25% |
| Spurs vs. Heat | Mar 24 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Pistons | Mar 24 | $6 | +$7 | +108% |
| Bucks vs. Clippers | Mar 24 | $34 | +$6 | +16% |
| Nets vs. Trail Blazers | Mar 24 | $36 | +$4 | +11% |
| Hawks vs. Bucks | Mar 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04? | Mar 23 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Mar 23 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Nets | Mar 23 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Suns | Mar 23 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Raptors | Mar 23 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Bucks | Mar 23 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-01? | Mar 23 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04? | Mar 23 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10? | Mar 23 | $33 | −$33 | -100% |
| Hornets vs. Celtics | Mar 23 | $28 | −$28 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Bucks | Mar 23 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Nets | Mar 23 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10? | Mar 23 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Nets | Mar 23 | $20 | −$9 | -46% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10? | Mar 23 | $24 | +$16 | +64% |
| Will Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? | Mar 23 | $31 | +$9 | +28% |