Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:00:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4C
0x4c56…e5f7
other · 5 markets active 2h ago
6.0score
+$10 +46%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$10 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized+$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses3 / 0
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)3 / 5
History coverage2d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day3.1
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit20%
Chart Positions 2 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$10
7 days+$10
14 days+$10
30 days+$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2 +$3 +105%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $3 +$5 +165%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 76% +$10
sports 24% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $5 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $3 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $3 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $2 31h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $3 47h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $5 47h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+84.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +104.0% +84.6% 100% 100% +73.9%
≤30d 3 +104.0% +84.6% 100% 100% +73.9%
≤90d 3 +104.0% +84.6% 100% 100% +73.9%
all 3 +104.0% +84.6% 100% 100% +73.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +84.6% 100% +73.9%
10% +66.9% 100% +57.2%
15% +50.8% 100% +42.0%
20% +36.0% 67% +28.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.80 · official $10.80 (match) · 9 history records