trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 16 | +24.6% | +12.8% | 25% | 25% | -1.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +12.8% | 25% | -1.3% |
| 10% | +2.0% | 25% | -10.7% |
| 15% | -7.9% | 25% | -19.3% |
| 20% | -16.9% | 25% | -27.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 8¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Lamine Yamal: 1+ assists | Yes | 39¢ | 34¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-14%) |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | Yes | 28¢ | 6¢ | $3 | $1 | −$2 (-79%) |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $4 | $0 | −$4 (-99%) |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-97%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07? | Mar 07 | $3 | +$4 | +133% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7? | Mar 07 | $7 | −$5 | -74% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | Mar 06 | $2 | +$1 | +62% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14? | Mar 02 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 3? | Mar 02 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026? | Feb 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Feb 28 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | Feb 28 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | Feb 28 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | Feb 28 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | Feb 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Feb 28 | $2 | +$16 | +808% |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | Feb 28 | $3 | +$17 | +566% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 38.5 and 39.0 million views on d | Feb 27 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | Feb 26 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 38.0 and 38.5 million views on d | Feb 26 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |