Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:58:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4C
0x4c3a…9395
crypto · 998 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2,446 +32%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,069 · open −$24
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$45
Realized−$3,069
Unrealized−$24
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses516 / 706
Open positions5
Markets (closed)1222 / 998
History coverage7d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day409.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 5 History 1222 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,383
7 days−$3,069
14 days−$3,069
30 days−$3,069
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 50¢ 92¢ $16 $29 +$13 (+84%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 56¢ 98¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+76%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 59¢ 90¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+52%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 41¢ 10¢ $11 $3 −$8 (-75%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 45¢ 8¢ $9 $2 −$8 (-83%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 50¢ 24¢ $3 $1 −$1 (-51%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 46¢ 22¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-51%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 52¢ 2¢ $6 $0 −$5 (-97%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $23 −$23 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$317
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 12m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-27.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1222 -19.3% -27.0% 42% 36% -36.1%
≤30d 1222 -19.3% -27.0% 42% 36% -36.1%
≤90d 1222 -19.3% -27.0% 42% 36% -36.1%
all 1222 -19.3% -27.0% 42% 36% -36.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover409.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.0% 36% -36.1%
10% ← realistic here -34.0% 28% -42.2%
15% -40.4% 20% -47.8%
20% -46.2% 15% -52.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $45.25 · official $52.33 · 3500 history records