Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:11:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4C
0x4c3a…6db5
other · 14 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$59 -22%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$65 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$65
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses4 / 10
Open positions0
Markets (closed)14 / 14
History coverage2d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day31.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 0 History 14 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$98
7 days−$65
14 days−$65
30 days−$65
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 1 Scotland? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 2 Czechia? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 1 Scotland? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $32 −$26 -81%
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? Jun 14 $18 −$1 -6%
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye? Jun 14 $3 −$1 -20%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? Jun 14 $27 +$15 +55%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $84 −$59 -70%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? Jun 13 $25 −$22 -86%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? Jun 13 $8 $0 -3%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 13 $28 $0 -0%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $18 +$1 +3%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 2 Czechia? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $7 +$37 +522%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% −$65
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 1¢ $6 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? SELL Yes 10¢ $2 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? SELL Yes 10¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? SELL Yes 10¢ $3 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? SELL Yes 10¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? SELL Yes 10¢ $2 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 4¢ $10 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 9¢ $2 2h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye? SELL Yes 11¢ $2 2h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 8¢ $12 2h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? SELL Yes 17¢ $40 2h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? SELL Yes 17¢ $2 2h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? SELL Yes 17¢ $0 2h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 9¢ $7 2h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 9¢ $9 2h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 9¢ $4 3h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 3h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 11¢ $11 3h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 11¢ $9 3h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 11¢ $9 3h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 14¢ $18 4h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 13¢ $12 4h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 13¢ $0 4h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 4h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 13¢ $20 4h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 4h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 6¢ $6 4h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 6¢ $6 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -1.3% -10.7% 29% 14% -31.5%
≤30d 14 -1.3% -10.7% 29% 14% -31.5%
≤90d 14 -1.3% -10.7% 29% 14% -31.5%
all 14 -1.3% -10.7% 29% 14% -31.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 14% -31.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.2% 14% -38.0%
15% -27.0% 14% -44.0%
20% -34.2% 14% -49.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 63 history records