trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -0.7% | -10.2% | 17% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 30% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 21% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 29 | +6.7% | -3.5% | 34% | 3% | -10.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -3.5% | 3% | -10.5% |
| 10% | -12.7% | 3% | -19.1% |
| 15% | -21.1% | 3% | -26.9% |
| 20% | -28.9% | 3% | -34.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 21 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | Jun 20 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 19 | $2 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 19 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 19 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 17 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 27 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 26 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 24 | $31 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | May 23 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | May 21 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 20 | $31 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | May 20 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | May 19 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | Jul 16 | $3 | $0 | -3% |
| Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 27 | $6 | $0 | +4% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Indianapolis Colts? | Jun 08 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Albania win Eurovision 2025? | May 19 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election? | May 19 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Newcastle finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season? | Apr 17 | $1 | +$3 | +342% |
| Will Bill Clinton be named in Epstein files? | Apr 16 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Apr 15 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope? | Apr 13 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Amazon buy TikTok? | Apr 12 | $7 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga? | Mar 23 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Holy Cross vs. Lafayette | Mar 04 | $16 | −$8 | -50% |
| Sacramento State vs. Portland State | Mar 03 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Howard vs. SC State | Mar 03 | $17 | $0 | -2% |