Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:52:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4C
0x4c10…b6a4
crypto · 908 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,179 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,179 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,179
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses483 / 425
Est. fees paid−$126
Open positions0
Markets (closed)908 / 908
History coverage16d
Avg bet$42
Trades / day155.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 908 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$555
7 days−$4,242
14 days−$2,359
30 days−$2,179
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $77 −$75 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$10 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $70 +$12 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$13 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$4 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$4 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$6 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$6 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$16 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$53 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$5 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $37 +$30 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $53 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$19 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $41 +$41 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $39 −$37 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $38 −$36 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$7 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$21 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 85% −$838
sports 15% −$1,341
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $26 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $52 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $21 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-17.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 621 -23.9% -31.1% 43% 34% -24.3%
≤30d 908 -9.2% -17.8% 53% 43% -14.8%
≤90d 908 -9.2% -17.8% 53% 43% -14.8%
all 908 -9.2% -17.8% 53% 43% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover155.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.8% 43% -14.8%
10% ← realistic here -25.7% 37% -22.9%
15% -32.9% 31% -30.4%
20% -39.5% 24% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records