trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -1.9% | -11.2% | 0% | 0% | -11.5% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -11.4% | -19.8% | 44% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -11.4% | -19.8% | 44% | 0% | -9.9% |
| all | 29 | -9.3% | -17.9% | 28% | 0% | -10.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.9% | 0% | -10.9% |
| 10% | -25.8% | 0% | -19.5% |
| 15% | -32.9% | 0% | -27.2% |
| 20% | -39.5% | 0% | -34.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | No | 82¢ | 80¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 20¢ | $0 | $0 | +$0 (+41%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 23 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 16 | $48 | −$2 | -4% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? | Jun 10 | $21 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 09 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 09 | $115 | +$1 | +1% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | Jun 08 | $4 | $0 | +2% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 06 | $47 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 06 | $47 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 05 | $48 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Mar 25 | $14 | −$9 | -68% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-29? | Nov 26 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Wolves win on 2025-12-03? | Nov 26 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30? | Nov 25 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-03? | Nov 25 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-03? | Nov 25 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Nov 25 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-02? | Nov 24 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? | Nov 24 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30? | Nov 22 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-29? | Nov 22 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Miami vs. Virginia Tech | Nov 21 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series? | Oct 05 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Oct 04 | $25 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025? | Oct 04 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025? | Oct 02 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025? | Oct 02 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Oct 01 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE? | Oct 01 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? | Sep 30 | $26 | $0 | +0% |