Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:53:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4B
0x4bfa…f975
crypto · 1265 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$639 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$639 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$639
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses666 / 523
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1189 / 1265
History coverage12d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day153.7
Drawdown21%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1189 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$22
7 days+$297
14 days+$639
30 days+$639
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +101%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$639
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-2.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 613 +8.5% -1.8% 57% 57% -1.1%
≤30d 1189 +7.7% -2.5% 56% 56% -1.1%
≤90d 1189 +7.7% -2.5% 56% 56% -1.1%
all 1189 +7.7% -2.5% 56% 56% -1.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover153.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.5% 56% -1.1%
10% ← realistic here -11.9% 55% -10.6%
15% -20.4% 55% -19.2%
20% -28.2% 54% -27.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2470 history records