Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:05:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4B
0x4bf5…a298
sports · 620 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$273 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$273 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$273
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses488 / 132
Est. fees paid−$35
Open positions0
Markets (closed)620 / 620
History coverage95d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day16.3
Drawdown32%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 620 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$21
7 days+$52
14 days+$64
30 days+$84
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winner KOLESIE 69¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A paiN 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: VP.Future 2 vs Hermine Esports Club - Map 2 Winner VP.Future 2 1¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Hermine Esports Club (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage Hermine Esports Club 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winner illwill 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner The Last Resort 36¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs FURIA 96¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner magic 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner Sinners 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $33 +$2 +5%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $100 +$2 +2%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $100 +$1 +1%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $50 +$1 +2%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $3 $0 +5%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $33 +$2 +5%
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Oxuji Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $100 +$2 +2%
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Jun 11 $33 +$2 +7%
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $38 +$6 +15%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $77 +$3 +4%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $50 +$3 +7%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $1 +$4 +378%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $1 −$1 -76%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $49 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 09 $33 +$2 +7%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $50 +$1 +3%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $25 +$7 +29%
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $14 $0 +2%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $66 +$2 +3%
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Jun 08 $33 +$1 +2%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $33 +$1 +2%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $50 +$1 +1%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stag Jun 08 $30 +$7 +23%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $21 +$2 +11%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs RUSTEC - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $96 −$1 -1%
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $33 −$3 -8%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $30 +$1 +4%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $78 +$2 +2%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $32 +$3 +10%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $30 +$2 +6%
Counter-Strike: TDK vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $30 +$3 +10%
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Jun 07 $48 +$1 +2%
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Walczaki - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $50 +$2 +4%
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs AM Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 06 $63 +$1 +1%
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Sta Jun 06 $100 +$4 +4%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC - Map 1 Winner Jun 05 $50 −$15 -30%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Ser Jun 05 $101 +$5 +5%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 05 $1 $0 +18%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 05 $100 +$3 +3%
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Misa Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 05 $91 +$12 +13%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Jun 04 $139 −$25 -18%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $43 +$2 +5%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $139 +$3 +2%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winner Jun 04 $7 −$6 -85%
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs ASTRAL (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Jun 04 $100 +$1 +1%
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playof Jun 04 $92 +$4 +4%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG - Map 1 Winner Jun 04 $4 $0 -5%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 03 $50 +$3 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 92% +$271
crypto 8% +$2
world 0% −$1
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 100¢ $35 46m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 95¢ $33 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $102 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 98¢ $100 1h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner SELL GenOne 100¢ $101 3h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner BUY GenOne 98¢ $12 3h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner BUY GenOne 99¢ $88 3h
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie SELL Virtus.pro 100¢ $101 4h
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie BUY Virtus.pro 99¢ $100 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 100¢ $101 21h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 99¢ $100 21h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Aurora Gaming 100¢ $51 23h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Aurora Gaming 98¢ $50 23h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 78¢ $3 23h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 73¢ $3 23h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner SELL FURIA 100¢ $35 26h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY FURIA 95¢ $33 26h
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Oxuji Esports - Map 1 Winner SELL Oxuji Esports 100¢ $102 27h
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Oxuji Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Oxuji Esports 98¢ $100 27h
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch SELL CYBERSHOKE Esports 100¢ $35 28h
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch BUY CYBERSHOKE Esports 93¢ $33 28h
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL AM Gaming 100¢ $44 29h
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY AM Gaming 87¢ $19 29h
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY AM Gaming 86¢ $19 29h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 Ares 100¢ $50 46h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 Ares 93¢ $47 47h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 Ares 47¢ $0 47h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 Ares 94¢ $29 47h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 Ares 95¢ $30 47h
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner SELL Walczaki 100¢ $53 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-6.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 38 +9.3% -1.1% 89% 13% -6.9%
≤30d 170 -0.7% -10.2% 82% 11% -8.5%
≤90d 580 +3.2% -6.6% 79% 8% -8.1%
all 620 +3.1% -6.7% 79% 8% -8.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.7% 8% -8.1%
10% -15.7% 2% -16.9%
15% -23.8% 1% -24.9%
20% -31.3% 1% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1615 history records