Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:10:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4B
0x4beb…7ea5
crypto · 432 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$374 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$374 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$374
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses215 / 217
Open positions0
Markets (closed)432 / 432
History coverage405d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day2.1
Drawdown63%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 432 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$5
14 days−$8
30 days−$60
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 07 $2 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 04 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 04 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 04 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 04 $2 −$1 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 04 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 03 $2 −$1 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 03 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET May 31 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET May 31 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET May 29 $2 −$2 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET May 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET May 29 $2 −$1 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET May 29 $2 −$1 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET May 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET May 29 $6 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET May 29 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$343
sports 1% +$8
other 0% +$26
politics 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $0 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET SELL Down 17¢ $0 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET SELL Down 29¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Up 18¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 17¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET SELL Down 13¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET SELL Up 24¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 -15.8% -23.8% 48% 37% -20.3%
≤30d 106 -17.2% -25.1% 46% 36% -35.0%
≤90d 116 -8.5% -17.2% 50% 41% -21.6%
all 432 -1.2% -10.6% 50% 45% -6.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.6% 45% -6.7%
10% -19.1% 40% -15.6%
15% -26.9% 33% -23.8%
20% -34.1% 32% -31.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1255 history records