Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:57:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4B
0x4be1…aa70
sports · 86 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$165,659 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$165,659 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$165,659
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses43 / 43
Whale WR (big bets)59%
Est. fees paid−$26,566
Open positions0
Markets (closed)86 / 86
History coverage152d
Avg bet$24,286
Trades / day13.0
Drawdown77%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 0 History 86 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11,910
7 days−$94,517
14 days+$152,606
30 days+$262,684
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies Arizona Diamondbacks 57¢ 0¢ $18,200 $0 −$18,200 (-100%)
Jiujiang: Lanlana Tararudee vs Xinxin Yao Lanlana Tararudee 76¢ 0¢ $10,000 $0 −$10,000 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Marta Kostyuk 31¢ 0¢ $2,524 $0 −$2,524 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoe Hubert Hurkacz 29¢ 0¢ $2,471 $0 −$2,471 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Pistons Cavaliers 34¢ 0¢ $6,988 $0 −$6,988 (-100%)
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-24? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $11,143 $0 −$11,143 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Movistar KOI 43¢ 0¢ $4,470 $0 −$4,470 (-100%)
BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinner Alexander Zverev 19¢ 0¢ $6,588 $0 −$6,588 (-100%)
Magic vs. Kings Kings 18¢ 0¢ $9,968 $0 −$9,968 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima Brandon Nakashima 10¢ 0¢ $9,351 $0 −$9,351 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi Matteo Berrettini 32¢ 0¢ $1,949 $0 −$1,949 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Busta Thiago Agustin Tirante 47¢ 0¢ $2,315 $0 −$2,315 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverev Jesper de Jong 7¢ 0¢ $5,356 $0 −$5,356 (-100%)
BNP Paribas Open: Sebastian Korda vs Alex de Minaur Sebastian Korda 39¢ 0¢ $4,766 $0 −$4,766 (-100%)
First Round Pool D: Venezuela vs. Dominican Rep. Venezuela 36¢ 0¢ $3,035 $0 −$3,035 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Pablo Carreno Busta 27¢ 0¢ $3,033 $0 −$3,033 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Maja Chwalinska 18¢ 0¢ $2,805 $0 −$2,805 (-100%)
Raptors vs. Cavaliers Raptors 33¢ 0¢ $13,852 $0 −$13,852 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Cristian Garin vs Learner Tien Cristian Garin 24¢ 0¢ $14,130 $0 −$14,130 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs Dplus KIA 54¢ 0¢ $17,966 $0 −$17,966 (-100%)
ASB Classic: Alejandro Tabilo vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Carabelli 33¢ 0¢ $900 $0 −$900 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 94¢ 0¢ $76,797 $0 −$76,797 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder Thunder 57¢ 0¢ $235,401 $0 −$235,401 (-100%)
BNP Paribas Open: Arthur Fils vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Felix Auger-Aliassime 58¢ 0¢ $12,010 $0 −$12,010 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud Casper Ruud 14¢ 0¢ $35,876 $0 −$35,876 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $66,626 +$69,800 +105%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $76,800 −$76,797 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 11 $76,687 +$69,671 +91%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublik Jun 10 $74,960 −$74,584 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $26,133 −$23,877 -91%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 09 $52,039 −$51,455 -99%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 06 $4,491 −$4,470 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 06 $2,874 −$2,805 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 04 $2,577 −$2,524 -98%
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Jun 04 $8 $0 +5%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 03 $1,989 −$1,949 -98%
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Jun 03 $1,090 +$907 +83%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev Jun 02 $8,913 −$8,691 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverev May 31 $5,505 −$5,356 -97%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta May 31 $14,363 −$6,907 -48%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek May 31 $20,233 +$12,399 +61%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers May 31 $60,171 +$84,609 +141%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $238,442 −$235,401 -99%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles May 30 $127,663 +$166,799 +131%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima May 30 $9,600 −$9,351 -97%
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys May 30 $46,704 +$42,921 +92%
Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Anastasia Potapova May 30 $53,646 +$116,054 +216%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesana May 30 $30,384 −$30,000 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda May 30 $42,732 +$76,321 +179%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul May 30 $29,656 +$24,811 +84%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic May 29 $7,007 +$22,480 +321%
Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Busta May 29 $2,352 −$2,315 -98%
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox May 28 $29,531 −$29,367 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Luciano Darderi May 28 $7,164 +$24,485 +342%
Roland Garros WTA: Ann Li vs Diane Parry May 28 $3,335 +$5,865 +176%
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoe May 28 $2,524 −$2,471 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo May 28 $1,640 +$893 +54%
Roland Garros ATP: Facundo Acosta vs Learner Tien May 28 $3,271 −$3,130 -96%
Roland Garros ATP: Cristian Garin vs Learner Tien May 26 $14,452 −$14,130 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Cameron Norrie vs Adolfo Vallejo May 26 $21,014 −$20,684 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev May 26 $4,091 +$31,375 +767%
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers May 26 $1,407 +$59 +4%
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-24? May 23 $11,193 −$11,143 -100%
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul May 23 $12,989 +$17,335 +134%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud May 17 $36,036 −$35,876 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels May 17 $8,377 −$8,235 -98%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina May 16 $133,863 +$187,572 +140%
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians May 16 $150,209 −$147,640 -98%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies May 16 $20,257 −$19,888 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 16 $61,476 +$94,592 +154%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev May 16 $30,258 +$11,824 +39%
San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics May 16 $2,447 −$2,400 -98%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17? May 15 $8,009 +$304 +4%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderi May 15 $10,006 +$185 +2%
Bordeaux: Arthur Rinderknech vs Martin Damm May 15 $20,194 +$9,373 +46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% +$208,292
other 4% −$42,633
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $1,363 51m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $1 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 74¢ $1,299 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 65¢ $11 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $189 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $3,051 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $9 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $19 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $3 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $19 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $10 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $1 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $41 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $3 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $96 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $48 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $90 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $673 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $49 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $1 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $10 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $19 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $9 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $96 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $5 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $75 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $4 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $49 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $2,971 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $196 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-5.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -49.5% -54.3% 25% 25% -32.1%
≤30d 51 +16.6% +5.5% 49% 41% +5.9%
≤90d 56 +11.0% +0.4% 46% 39% +3.5%
all 86 +4.8% -5.2% 50% 41% -1.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.0 tr/day
realistic slip~14%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.2% 41% -1.2%
10% ← realistic here -14.2% 36% -10.7%
15% -22.5% 31% -19.3%
20% -30.1% 29% -27.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2012 history records