trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -87.9% | -89.0% | 0% | 0% | -89.0% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -97.0% | -97.3% | 0% | 0% | -92.5% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -97.0% | -97.3% | 0% | 0% | -92.5% |
| all | 4 | -97.0% | -97.3% | 0% | 0% | -92.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -97.3% | 0% | -92.5% |
| 10% | -97.5% | 0% | -93.2% |
| 15% | -97.8% | 0% | -93.9% |
| 20% | -98.0% | 0% | -94.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 8¢ | $879 | $810 | −$69 (-8%) |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $110 | $67 | −$43 (-39%) |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 3¢ | $25 | $13 | −$12 (-48%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 21 | $28 | −$25 | -88% |
| Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5 | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 2 Ecuador? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 3 Japan? | Jun 14 | $7 | −$7 | -97% |