Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:42:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4B
0x4bc3…41aa
crypto · 336 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$325 +52%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$325 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$325
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)4%
Wins / losses14 / 322
Open positions0
Markets (closed)336 / 336
History coverage26d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day12.7
Drawdown33%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 0 History 336 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$32
7 days+$7
14 days+$74
30 days+$325
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 80% +$280
other 20% +$45
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 57m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 14h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 20h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 22h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 27h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 28h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 30h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 30h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 30h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 30h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 30h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 32h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 33h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 33h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 34h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 34h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-22.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 149 -59.2% -63.1% 2% 2% -62.8%
≤30d 336 -14.5% -22.6% 4% 4% -32.5%
≤90d 336 -14.5% -22.6% 4% 4% -32.5%
all 336 -14.5% -22.6% 4% 4% -32.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.6% 4% -32.5%
10% -30.1% 4% -39.0%
15% -36.8% 4% -44.9%
20% -43.0% 4% -50.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 690 history records