Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:48:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4B
0x4bb0…3e6b
crypto · 107 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$14 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$31 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$31
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses68 / 39
Open positions0
Markets (closed)107 / 107
History coverage14d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day12.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 107 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$6
14 days−$10
30 days−$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $43 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$8 +78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$5 -47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$6 -64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$7 -68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$7 -68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 03 $14 −$4 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 03 $6 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 03 $12 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 03 $11 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 03 $6 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 03 $6 −$1 -8%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 01 $2 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 01 $2 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 01 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET May 31 $2 −$2 -95%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET May 31 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET May 31 $8 $0 -1%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET May 31 $2 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET May 31 $2 $0 +23%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET May 31 $2 +$1 +26%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET May 31 $2 +$1 +38%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET May 31 $2 $0 +22%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET May 31 $2 $0 +20%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET May 31 $2 +$1 +36%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET May 31 $5 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET May 31 $2 +$1 +28%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET May 31 $2 +$1 +52%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET May 31 $2 $0 +22%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET May 31 $2 +$1 +38%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET May 31 $2 $0 +18%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET May 31 $7 −$2 -31%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET May 31 $2 +$1 +36%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET May 31 $5 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET May 31 $2 +$1 +42%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET May 31 $2 +$1 +40%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET May 31 $2 +$1 +43%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET May 31 $2 +$1 +26%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET May 31 $1 $0 +46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$31
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 19¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 25¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Down 25¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-5.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 -3.7% -12.9% 69% 56% -12.1%
≤30d 107 +4.0% -5.9% 64% 59% -14.1%
≤90d 107 +4.0% -5.9% 64% 59% -14.1%
all 107 +4.0% -5.9% 64% 59% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.9% 59% -14.1%
10% -14.9% 41% -22.3%
15% -23.2% 30% -29.8%
20% -30.7% 12% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 271 history records