trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | +9.4% | -1.0% | 90% | 70% | +0.3% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +13.3% | +2.5% | 91% | 73% | +3.8% |
| ≤90d | 30 | -6.1% | -15.0% | 67% | 53% | -1.0% |
| all | 31 | -5.8% | -14.8% | 68% | 52% | -1.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.8% | 52% | -1.1% |
| 10% | -22.9% | 32% | -10.6% |
| 15% | -30.4% | 16% | -19.2% |
| 20% | -37.2% | 10% | -27.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 39¢ | 14¢ | $150 | $55 | −$95 (-63%) |
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Yes | 32¢ | 34¢ | $50 | $54 | +$4 (+8%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $801 | +$24 | +3% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $602 | +$91 | +15% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $101 | +$34 | +34% |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $100 | +$13 | +13% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $101 | +$23 | +23% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $402 | +$68 | +17% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $100 | −$82 | -82% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $301 | +$59 | +19% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $131 | +$62 | +48% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $100 | +$4 | +4% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? | Jun 12 | $283 | +$149 | +52% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | Apr 28 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 22 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 22 | $50 | −$34 | -68% |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Apr 22 | $30 | −$13 | -42% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 20 | $80 | +$3 | +4% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Apr 19 | $65 | +$19 | +29% |
| Cavaliers vs. Hawks | Apr 18 | $10 | +$3 | +31% |
| Will Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC end in a draw? | Apr 10 | $32 | +$17 | +52% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10? | Apr 10 | $70 | −$44 | -63% |
| Rockets vs. Warriors | Apr 06 | $60 | +$11 | +19% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04? | Apr 04 | $60 | +$26 | +43% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-04? | Apr 04 | $10 | −$1 | -14% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04? | Apr 04 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Italy win on 2026-03-31? | Apr 04 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03? | Apr 04 | $40 | +$12 | +30% |
| Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09? | Apr 03 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Warriors | Apr 02 | $70 | +$1 | +1% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | Mar 31 | $1 | +$1 | +133% |
| 76ers vs. Cavaliers | Mar 31 | $80 | +$12 | +15% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 19? | Mar 09 | $80 | +$3 | +3% |