Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:21:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4B
0x4ba2…8f7c
crypto · 787 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,770 -27%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,770 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,770
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses377 / 753
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1130 / 787
History coverage35d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day83.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1130 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,542
7 days−$2,569
14 days−$2,550
30 days−$2,633
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-01-13? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Kentucky Wildcats vs. LSU Tigers LSU Tigers 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Pistons vs. Raptors Raptors 51¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev Zverev 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs. Lindenwood Lions: O/U 150.5 Under 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Rangers vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5 Over 55¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Maple Leafs vs. Oilers Oilers 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Suns vs. Knicks Knicks 58¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles: O/U 139.5 Over 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves Timberwolves 75¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Heat vs. Trail Blazers Heat 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 228.5 Under 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-01-13? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Kentucky Wildcats vs. LSU Tigers Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Pistons vs. Raptors Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs. Lindenwood Lions: O/U 150.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Rangers vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Maple Leafs vs. Oilers Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Suns vs. Knicks Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles: O/U 139.5 Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Heat vs. Trail Blazers Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 228.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Spread: 76ers (-3.5) Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-17? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21? Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Montana Grizzlies vs. Eastern Washington Eagles Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Green Bay Phoenix (-3.5) Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Penguins vs. Islanders Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Robert Morris Colonials vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons: O/U 146.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
UTSA Roadrunners vs. North Texas Mean Green: O/U 138.5 Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Western Illinois Leathernecks: O/U 132.5 Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Julius Walker (Light Heavyweight, M Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5) Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
UAB Blazers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane: O/U 160.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-01-19? Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 147.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$816
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $4 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $4 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $4 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $4 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $4 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $4 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $4 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $4 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-35.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 725 -41.7% -47.3% 25% 23% -39.7%
≤30d 1117 -28.3% -35.1% 33% 31% -27.4%
≤90d 1130 -28.4% -35.2% 33% 31% -28.0%
all 1130 -28.4% -35.2% 33% 31% -28.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover83.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -35.2% 31% -28.0%
10% ← realistic here -41.4% 28% -34.9%
15% -47.1% 24% -41.2%
20% -52.2% 19% -47.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records