trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 26 | -4.5% | -13.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -21.9% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -29.4% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -36.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2025? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 14 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 21 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 19 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 27 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 12 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 09 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jan 21 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 15 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Panthers win the NFC Championship? | Nov 20 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026? | Oct 25 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series? | Sep 23 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Browns win the AFC Championship? | Aug 23 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| Everton wins the Premier League? | Aug 23 | $0 | $0 | -17% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026? | Jul 14 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers win the Premier League? | Jul 14 | $66 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 12 | $186 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 10 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Washington Nationals win the 2025 National League Championshi | Apr 17 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2025? | Mar 25 | $1 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Feb 08 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the New York Islanders win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Dec 27 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Dec 15 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Dec 12 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Dec 10 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benfica win the UEFA Champions League? | Dec 07 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the UEFA Champions League? | Dec 05 | $0 | $0 | +0% |