Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:19:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4B
0x4b88…e2ee
crypto · 135 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$75 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$19 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$30
Realized+$19
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses101 / 34
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)135 / 135
History coverage1d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day192.0
Drawdown82%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 135 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$19
7 days+$19
14 days+$19
30 days+$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 82¢ 100¢ $9 $11 +$2 (+22%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 93¢ 100¢ $9 $10 +$1 (+8%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 97¢ 100¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+3%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 -0%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$2 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 -0%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $14 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$14 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $13 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$2 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$3 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$18 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$2 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$3 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$2 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$2 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $17 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$2 +17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% −$21
world 8% −$3
sports 3% +$42
other 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $9 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $9 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $9 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $9 9m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $9 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $9 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 16m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $12 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $9 25m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $9 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $9 34m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $9 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $9 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $9 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $12 41m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $14 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $15 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $12 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $13 59m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $9 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 135 -1.8% -11.1% 75% 39% -7.0%
≤30d 135 -1.8% -11.1% 75% 39% -7.0%
≤90d 135 -1.8% -11.1% 75% 39% -7.0%
all 135 -1.8% -11.1% 75% 39% -7.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover192.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.1% 39% -7.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.6% 7% -15.9%
15% -27.4% 3% -24.0%
20% -34.5% 1% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $29.93 · official $29.78 (match) · 302 history records