Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:46:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4B
0x4b84…d599
crypto · 1752 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$4 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized+$7
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses1693 / 58
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1751 / 1752
History coverage10d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day183.5
Drawdown88%
Kalshi-fit77%
Chart Positions 1 History 1751 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$28
7 days+$20
14 days+$7
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 97¢ 44¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-55%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 77% +$57
other 23% −$53
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 6m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 6m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 11m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 16m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 21m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 27m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 31m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 31m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 36m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 41m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1482 +0.3% -9.3% 97% 0% -9.3%
≤30d 1751 +0.1% -9.5% 97% 0% -9.5%
≤90d 1751 +0.1% -9.5% 97% 0% -9.5%
all 1751 +0.1% -9.5% 97% 0% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover183.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 0% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.1% 0% -18.1%
15% -26.0% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.20 · official $1.32 (match) · 3500 history records