Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:07:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4B
0x4b7a…c135
crypto · 290 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$51 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$51 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$51
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses283 / 14
Open positions0
Markets (closed)297 / 290
History coverage4d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day593.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 297 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$45
7 days−$51
14 days−$51
30 days−$51
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $44 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $48 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $42 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $95 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $24 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $32 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $103 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $22 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $85 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 43m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 297 -3.4% -12.6% 95% 0% -10.6%
≤30d 297 -3.4% -12.6% 95% 0% -10.6%
≤90d 297 -3.4% -12.6% 95% 0% -10.6%
all 297 -3.4% -12.6% 95% 0% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover593.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.6% 0% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -21.0% 0% -19.1%
15% -28.6% 0% -26.9%
20% -35.6% 0% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records