Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:29:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4B
0x4b71…ad0a
crypto · 56 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$71 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$72 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$26
Realized−$72
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses30 / 25
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)55 / 56
History coverage2d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day39.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 1 History 55 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$71
7 days−$72
14 days−$72
30 days−$72
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 60¢ 62¢ $25 $26 +$1 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$16 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$4 +16%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $15 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$11 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$12 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$6 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$8 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$3 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$3 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$20 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$8 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$13 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $36 +$25 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$10 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$11 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$15 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$5 +10%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $35 −$35 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$6 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $41 +$64 +158%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% −$89
other 12% +$16
sports 2% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $26 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $26 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $25 16m
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $16 22m
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 91¢ $15 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $26 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-15.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 55 -6.1% -15.0% 55% 47% -16.5%
≤30d 55 -6.1% -15.0% 55% 47% -16.5%
≤90d 55 -6.1% -15.0% 55% 47% -16.5%
all 55 -6.1% -15.0% 55% 47% -16.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover39.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.0% 47% -16.5%
10% ← realistic here -23.1% 42% -24.5%
15% -30.6% 35% -31.8%
20% -37.4% 27% -38.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $26.04 · official $22.29 · 149 history records