trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +10.7% | +0.1% | 60% | 60% | -8.6% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -21.0% | -28.5% | 43% | 43% | -11.4% |
| all | 10 | -24.6% | -31.8% | 40% | 30% | -15.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -31.8% | 30% | -15.7% |
| 10% | -38.3% | 0% | -23.8% |
| 15% | -44.3% | 0% | -31.1% |
| 20% | -49.8% | 0% | -37.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 88¢ | 88¢ | $55 | $54 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 58¢ | 57¢ | $54 | $53 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 95¢ | 94¢ | $52 | $51 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 28 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm ele | Jun 28 | $66 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15? | Jun 20 | $1 | $0 | +15% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? | Jun 20 | $2 | $0 | +18% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | Jun 20 | $2 | $0 | +21% |
| UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | May 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Feb 27 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | Feb 27 | $2 | $0 | -1% |
| Infinex FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Feb 27 | $1 | $0 | +1% |