Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T19:04:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
4B 0x4b6e…48d6 other 3 markets active 2h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ bot/MM pace (535 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable
Total PnL +$1,045 (+78%) realized +$1,045 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +79% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +38% what you keep after slip
Net edge+38%after slip
Net WR100%break-even
Win rate100%3W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$446per market
Trades / day535.3pace
Kalshi-fit33%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 63% +$715
world 37% +$329
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+61.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +78.8% +61.8% 100% 100% +61.1%
≤30d 3 +78.8% +61.8% 100% 100% +61.1%
≤90d 3 +78.8% +61.8% 100% 100% +61.1%
all 3 +78.8% +61.8% 100% 100% +61.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover535.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +61.8% 100% +61.1%
10% ← realistic here +46.3% 100% +45.7%
15% +32.2% 100% +31.6%
20% +19.2% 100% +18.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 38% · top 2 69% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +78% too few recent
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +79% · $-wt +78% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
108.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$348 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,045
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses3 / 0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)3 / 3
History coverage1d
Avg bet$446
Trades / day535.3
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit33%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 3 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? Jun 25 $475 +$396 +83%
Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27? Jun 25 $368 +$319 +87%
Will Marcus Semien win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award? Jun 24 $496 +$329 +66%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? SELL Yes 0¢ $9 2h
Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? SELL Yes 0¢ $9 2h
Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? SELL Yes 0¢ $10 2h
Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? SELL Yes 0¢ $10 2h
Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 2h
Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 2h
Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 2h
Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 2h
Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? SELL Yes 0¢ $9 2h
Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? SELL Yes 0¢ $10 2h
Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? SELL Yes 0¢ $9 2h
Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? SELL Yes 0¢ $9 2h
Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? SELL Yes 0¢ $13 2h
Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? SELL Yes 0¢ $13 2h
Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 2h
Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 2h
Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 2h
Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 2h
Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 2h
Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 2h
Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? SELL Yes 0¢ $16 2h
Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? SELL Yes 0¢ $15 2h
Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? SELL Yes 0¢ $9 2h
Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? SELL Yes 0¢ $9 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 570 history records