Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:23:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4B
0x4b6d…7aa1
crypto · 1211 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,439 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$769 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$769
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses550 / 855
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1405 / 1211
History coverage27d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day96.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1405 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$755
7 days−$755
14 days−$680
30 days−$769
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-94%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $29 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $23 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $27 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $26 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $6 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $10 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $17 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $13 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $19 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $11 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $27 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $7 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $21 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $11 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $17 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $21 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $11 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $17 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $17 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $8 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-32.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 238 -90.7% -91.6% 4% 1% -45.6%
≤30d 1405 -25.3% -32.4% 39% 20% -14.8%
≤90d 1405 -25.3% -32.4% 39% 20% -14.8%
all 1405 -25.3% -32.4% 39% 20% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover96.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -32.4% 20% -14.8%
10% ← realistic here -38.8% 12% -23.0%
15% -44.8% 9% -30.4%
20% -50.2% 7% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.15 · official $0.15 (match) · 3500 history records