Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:23:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4B
0x4b5b…529a
crypto · 63 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$182 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$182 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$198
Realized−$182
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)19%
Wins / losses13 / 55
Open positions1
Markets (closed)68 / 63
Avg bet$233
Trades / day3437.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 68 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$182
7 days−$182
14 days−$182
30 days−$182
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 57¢ 60¢ $114 $119 +$5 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 40¢ 40¢ $79 $79 +$0 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $340 −$5 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $211 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $297 −$7 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $287 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $174 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $228 −$3 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $229 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $284 −$4 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $157 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $236 −$6 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $104 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $127 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $399 −$4 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $248 −$3 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $207 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $288 +$7 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $156 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $256 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $283 −$3 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $142 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $435 −$5 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $300 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $345 −$5 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $267 −$7 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $137 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $294 −$4 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $100 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $224 −$4 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $97 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $114 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $158 −$3 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $228 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $326 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $250 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $277 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $353 −$3 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $246 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $227 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $296 −$6 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $133 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $280 −$5 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $247 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $223 −$3 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $365 −$5 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$123
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $7 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $7 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $7 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $7 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $6 2m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-18.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 68 -9.5% -18.1% 19% 0% -10.7%
≤30d 68 -9.5% -18.1% 19% 0% -10.7%
≤90d 68 -9.5% -18.1% 19% 0% -10.7%
all 68 -9.5% -18.1% 19% 0% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3437.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.1% 0% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -25.9% 0% -19.2%
15% -33.1% 0% -27.0%
20% -39.6% 0% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $197.97 · official $198.18 (match) · 3500 history records