Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:28:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4B
0x4b1e…dbac
crypto · 14 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$20 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$20 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$20
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses6 / 8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)14 / 14
History coverage1d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day67.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 14 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$20
7 days−$20
14 days−$20
30 days−$20
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$3 -35%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$7 -34%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$7 +153%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$11 -81%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +111%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$16 +121%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$7 -42%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$19 +100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$21 +110%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$6 -48%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$5 +46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $4 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $7 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $2 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 42m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 27¢ $6 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $4 47m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $4 52m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $4 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 71¢ $14 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $4 56m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $4 57m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $4 57m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 57m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 71¢ $4 59m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 86¢ $13 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Up 3¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-3.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 +7.2% -3.0% 43% 43% -18.4%
≤30d 14 +7.2% -3.0% 43% 43% -18.4%
≤90d 14 +7.2% -3.0% 43% 43% -18.4%
all 14 +7.2% -3.0% 43% 43% -18.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover67.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.0% 43% -18.4%
10% ← realistic here -12.3% 43% -26.2%
15% -20.7% 43% -33.3%
20% -28.5% 36% -39.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 80 history records