Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:42:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4B
0x4b0f…57fe
crypto · 1886 markets active 0h ago
3.5score
+$225 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$225 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$225
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses785 / 903
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1688 / 1886
History coverage90d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day29.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1688 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$126
7 days−$110
14 days+$49
30 days+$351
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$424
weather 1% −$47
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)+0.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 138 -50.1% -54.9% 18% 18% -48.8%
≤30d 627 +12.0% +1.3% 40% 39% +7.4%
≤90d 1688 +11.1% +0.5% 47% 46% -7.4%
all 1688 +11.1% +0.5% 47% 46% -7.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.5% 46% -7.4%
10% ← realistic here -9.1% 45% -16.3%
15% -17.9% 35% -24.4%
20% -26.0% 27% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records