Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:41:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4B
0x4b0a…9d96
crypto · 61 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$180 -29%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$175 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$175
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses18 / 42
Open positions1
Markets (closed)60 / 61
History coverage1d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day139.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 60 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$175
7 days−$175
14 days−$175
30 days−$175
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 10¢ 2¢ $7 $2 −$5 (-76%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$22 +303%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +75%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$13 +208%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$4 -66%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$3 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$3 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$3 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$13 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$12 +363%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$9 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$4 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$11 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $21 −$10 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$6 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$5 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$180
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $2 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $5 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $2 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $30 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $2 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $14 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $5 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $5 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $10 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $19 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 33¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 8¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 17¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-45.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 60 -39.3% -45.1% 30% 25% -38.2%
≤30d 60 -39.3% -45.1% 30% 25% -38.2%
≤90d 60 -39.3% -45.1% 30% 25% -38.2%
all 60 -39.3% -45.1% 30% 25% -38.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover139.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -45.1% 25% -38.2%
10% ← realistic here -50.4% 23% -44.1%
15% -55.2% 15% -49.5%
20% -59.6% 12% -54.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.68 · official $1.68 (match) · 146 history records