Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:37:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4B
0x4b07…5f54
sports · 14 markets active 1h ago
5.0score
+$25 +32%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$25 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Net worth$22
Realized+$25
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses5 / 5
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions4
Markets (closed)10 / 14
History coverage6d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day2.7
Drawdown77%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 10 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days+$25
14 days+$25
30 days+$25
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Hurricanes 51¢ 52¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+3%)
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Golden State Valkyries 78¢ 93¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+19%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 48¢ 48¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Under 52¢ 40¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-24%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $5 +$6 +109%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $5 +$5 +97%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $5 +$7 +132%
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on June 8? Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
China PR vs. Thailand: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs OpTic Texas (BO5) - Call of Duty L Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal end in a draw? Jun 10 $10 +$28 +276%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $5 +$5 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 93% +$30
crypto 7% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 +20.7% +9.2% 50% 50% +30.3%
≤30d 10 +20.7% +9.2% 50% 50% +30.3%
≤90d 10 +20.7% +9.2% 50% 50% +30.3%
all 10 +20.7% +9.2% 50% 50% +30.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +9.2% 50% +30.3%
10% -1.2% 50% +17.8%
15% -10.8% 50% +6.5%
20% -19.5% 50% -4.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $21.91 · official $21.91 (match) · 25 history records