trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 14 | -33.2% | -39.5% | 29% | 21% | -29.5% |
| ≤30d | 27 | -27.5% | -34.4% | 33% | 30% | -50.8% |
| ≤90d | 33 | -27.5% | -34.4% | 33% | 30% | -47.1% |
| all | 33 | -27.5% | -34.4% | 33% | 30% | -47.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -34.4% | 30% | -47.1% |
| 10% | -40.7% | 27% | -52.1% |
| 15% | -46.4% | 27% | -56.8% |
| 20% | -51.7% | 24% | -61.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 20¢ | $200 | $214 | +$14 (+7%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $200 | $199 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 4¢ | $113 | $190 | +$76 (+67%) |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins | San Francisco Giants | 57¢ | 56¢ | $69 | $68 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $148 | +$71 | +48% |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 21 | $57 | −$19 | -33% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $51 | +$60 | +119% |
| Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $56 | −$55 | -98% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $82 | −$80 | -98% |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins | Jun 20 | $51 | −$13 | -26% |
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $81 | +$7 | +9% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $237 | −$110 | -47% |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners | Jun 20 | $289 | −$55 | -19% |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers | Jun 20 | $171 | −$116 | -68% |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins | Jun 19 | $104 | −$102 | -98% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $172 | +$106 | +62% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $53 | −$41 | -77% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $152 | +$166 | +109% |
| Spread: Knicks (-1.5) | Jun 11 | $300 | +$302 | +101% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $359 | −$355 | -99% |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins | Jun 02 | $71 | −$70 | -99% |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | Jun 02 | $166 | −$94 | -56% |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins | Jun 02 | $200 | −$186 | -93% |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | May 31 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) | May 31 | $483 | +$449 | +93% |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | May 30 | $246 | +$220 | +89% |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) | May 26 | $906 | −$893 | -99% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 26 | $4,574 | −$3,012 | -66% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 26 | $203 | +$161 | +79% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 22 | $198 | −$195 | -99% |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) | May 22 | $148 | −$148 | -100% |
| Spread: Thunder (-6.5) | May 21 | $313 | −$308 | -99% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 105.5 | May 20 | $96 | −$95 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 19 | $51 | +$110 | +216% |
| Spread: Thunder (-6.5) | May 19 | $1,050 | +$187 | +18% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 17 | $235 | −$229 | -97% |