Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:23:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4A
0x4ac4…3ab4
crypto · 503 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,067 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,067 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,067
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses352 / 173
Open positions0
Markets (closed)525 / 503
History coverage5d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day595.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 525 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$644
7 days−$1,067
14 days−$1,067
30 days−$1,067
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $33 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $44 +$6 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $46 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $43 +$7 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $23 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $46 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $27 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $28 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $45 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $47 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$419
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-21.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 525 -13.1% -21.4% 67% 27% -16.0%
≤30d 525 -13.1% -21.4% 67% 27% -16.0%
≤90d 525 -13.1% -21.4% 67% 27% -16.0%
all 525 -13.1% -21.4% 67% 27% -16.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover595.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.4% 27% -16.0%
10% ← realistic here -28.9% 18% -24.0%
15% -35.8% 17% -31.4%
20% -42.1% 17% -38.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records