Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T21:49:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
4A 0x4ab2…7898 crypto 1759 markets active 0h ago coverage 19d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 18d only
✗ bot/MM pace (93 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$51 (+1%) realized +$51 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate98%1739W / 31L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day92.9pace
Kalshi-fit87%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$20
7 days−$16
14 days−$16
30 days−$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 87% +$11
other 13% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (93 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 729 -1.0% -10.5% 98% 0% -10.4%
≤30d 1770 -0.4% -9.9% 98% 0% -9.8%
≤90d 1770 -0.4% -9.9% 98% 0% -9.8%
all 1770 -0.4% -9.9% 98% 0% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover92.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 0% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 0% -18.4%
15% -26.4% 0% -26.3%
20% -33.6% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.81 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

19d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$51
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1739 / 31
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1770 / 1759
History coverage19d ⚠
Avg bet$2
Trades / day92.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1770 Trades
no open positions (31 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 49m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 59m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records