Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:23:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4A
0x4ab0…5c52
crypto · 233 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$42 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$41 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$41
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses145 / 80
Open positions8
Markets (closed)225 / 233
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day295.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 8 History 225 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$41
7 days−$41
14 days−$41
30 days−$41
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Yes 70¢ 70¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Yes 91¢ 90¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will England win on 2026-06-17? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 49¢ 48¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? Yes 53¢ 48¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-10%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$6 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$10 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$4 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$3 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$38
other 1% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 87¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Down 83¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Up 87¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Down 69¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 34m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 225 -6.0% -14.9% 64% 55% -13.2%
≤30d 225 -6.0% -14.9% 64% 55% -13.2%
≤90d 225 -6.0% -14.9% 64% 55% -13.2%
all 225 -6.0% -14.9% 64% 55% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover295.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.9% 55% -13.2%
10% ← realistic here -23.1% 42% -21.5%
15% -30.5% 28% -29.1%
20% -37.3% 19% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.84 · official $7.84 (match) · 522 history records