trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +237.0% | +204.9% | 50% | 50% | +290.9% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +361.0% | +317.1% | 67% | 67% | +301.7% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +245.8% | +212.8% | 50% | 50% | +242.8% |
| all | 12 | +111.1% | +91.0% | 42% | 42% | +207.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +91.0% | 42% | +207.5% |
| 10% | +72.7% | 42% | +178.1% |
| 15% | +56.1% | 42% | +151.2% |
| 20% | +40.8% | 42% | +126.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $262 | $306 | +$44 (+17%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 6¢ | $237 | $301 | +$64 (+27%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 5¢ | $200 | $175 | −$25 (-12%) |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $110 | $109 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $101 | $98 | −$3 (-3%) |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $75 | $67 | −$8 (-11%) |
| Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $75 | $38 | −$38 (-50%) |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $36 | $33 | −$3 (-8%) |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $15 | −$15 (-50%) |
| Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $12 | −$7 (-38%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 21 | $360 | −$118 | -33% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $753 | +$3,816 | +507% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 03 | $50 | +$305 | +609% |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 03 | $204 | −$200 | -98% |
| Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | Mar 18 | $100 | +$385 | +385% |
| Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | Mar 18 | $140 | +$378 | +270% |
| Will Italy win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | Mar 16 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Alabama A&M Bulldogs | Feb 17 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| New Orleans Privateers vs. Incarnate Word Cardinals | Feb 17 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Lamar Cardinals vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | Feb 17 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will the USA Stars team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game? | Feb 16 | $50 | +$98 | +195% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Feb 13 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |