Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:51:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4A
0x4a96…be2b
crypto · 8 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$12 +18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses5 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)8 / 8
History coverage1d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day20.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 0 History 8 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$5 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$5 -50%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$8 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% −$5
other 8% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -2.0% -11.3% 62% 38% -11.2%
≤30d 8 -2.0% -11.3% 62% 38% -11.2%
≤90d 8 -2.0% -11.3% 62% 38% -11.2%
all 8 -2.0% -11.3% 62% 38% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.3% 38% -11.2%
10% -19.8% 38% -19.7%
15% -27.6% 25% -27.4%
20% -34.7% 25% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 23 history records