trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -40.6% | -46.2% | 20% | 20% | -67.7% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +52.6% | +38.1% | 67% | 67% | +62.4% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +52.6% | +38.1% | 67% | 67% | +62.4% |
| all | 12 | +52.6% | +38.1% | 67% | 67% | +62.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +38.1% | 67% | +62.4% |
| 10% | +24.9% | 67% | +46.9% |
| 15% | +12.8% | 58% | +32.7% |
| 20% | +1.8% | 58% | +19.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 52¢ | 100¢ | $105 | $200 | +$95 (+90%) |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $8 | $5 | −$3 (-34%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: England (-1.5) | Jun 23 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5 | Jun 23 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 22 | $10 | +$20 | +197% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) | Jun 20 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $20 | +$13 | +65% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $31 | +$59 | +194% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $51 | +$88 | +172% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 12 | $256 | +$90 | +35% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 12 | $51 | +$14 | +27% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $51 | +$42 | +83% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $51 | +$58 | +114% |