trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +24.1% | +12.2% | 100% | 100% | +11.8% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 83% | 58% | -8.3% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +3.9% | -6.0% | 88% | 56% | -5.4% |
| all | 16 | +3.9% | -6.0% | 88% | 56% | -5.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.0% | 56% | -5.4% |
| 10% | -15.0% | 19% | -14.5% |
| 15% | -23.2% | 12% | -22.7% |
| 20% | -30.7% | 0% | -30.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $84 | +$10 | +12% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $57 | +$27 | +48% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $47 | +$10 | +21% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $41 | +$6 | +15% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $33 | +$8 | +24% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? | Jun 02 | $28 | +$5 | +18% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? | Jun 02 | $10 | −$10 | -96% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | May 29 | $108 | −$70 | -64% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27? | May 27 | $107 | +$1 | +1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | May 27 | $97 | +$9 | +10% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May? | May 25 | $88 | +$9 | +10% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? | May 24 | $85 | +$3 | +4% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? | May 21 | $73 | +$12 | +16% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? | Apr 30 | $52 | +$21 | +41% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | Apr 29 | $50 | +$2 | +4% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March? | Mar 29 | $99 | +$3 | +3% |