Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:35:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4A
0x4a03…d09f
crypto · 65 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$46 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$46 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$46
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses53 / 13
Open positions0
Markets (closed)66 / 65
History coverage1d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day76.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 66 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$46
7 days+$46
14 days+$46
30 days+$46
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on February 20? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on February Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +45%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +74%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +53%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$4 +39%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +17%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$20 +203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +40%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +68%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$3 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +45%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$46
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $10 57m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 57m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $10 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $10 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $10 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $10 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $8 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $6 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $10 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $9 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $10 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $10 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $3 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $10 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)-4.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 66 +5.9% -4.2% 80% 64% -3.0%
≤30d 66 +5.9% -4.2% 80% 64% -3.0%
≤90d 66 +5.9% -4.2% 80% 64% -3.0%
all 66 +5.9% -4.2% 80% 64% -3.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover76.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.2% 64% -3.0%
10% ← realistic here -13.4% 38% -12.3%
15% -21.7% 27% -20.8%
20% -29.4% 12% -28.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 129 history records