Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:09:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

49
0x49fa…5263
crypto · 1811 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$194 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$194 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$194
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses1622 / 266
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1888 / 1811
History coverage5d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day372.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 0 History 1888 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$167
7 days−$194
14 days−$194
30 days−$194
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 3, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% −$6
other 13% −$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 34m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 49m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 59m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1888 -5.6% -14.6% 86% 18% -17.9%
≤30d 1888 -5.6% -14.6% 86% 18% -17.9%
≤90d 1888 -5.6% -14.6% 86% 18% -17.9%
all 1888 -5.6% -14.6% 86% 18% -17.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover372.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.6% 18% -17.9%
10% ← realistic here -22.7% 5% -25.8%
15% -30.2% 1% -33.0%
20% -37.0% 1% -39.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records