trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -39.7% | -45.5% | 33% | 33% | +43.4% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -5.6% | -14.6% | 60% | 60% | +52.7% |
| ≤90d | 18 | +15.0% | +4.0% | 61% | 39% | +16.0% |
| all | 18 | +15.0% | +4.0% | 61% | 39% | +16.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +4.0% | 39% | +16.0% |
| 10% | -5.9% | 22% | +4.9% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -15.0% | 22% | -5.3% |
| 20% | -23.4% | 22% | -14.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Yes | 65¢ | 48¢ | $34,273 | $25,485 | −$8,788 (-26%) |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 9¢ | 4¢ | $8,769 | $4,044 | −$4,725 (-54%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 7¢ | 6¢ | $1,765 | $1,639 | −$126 (-7%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 19 | $305 | −$305 | -100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? | Jun 18 | $33 | −$33 | -100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 16 | $2,406 | +$1,945 | +81% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 15 | $45,268 | +$33,545 | +74% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Jun 02 | $4,073 | +$688 | +17% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | May 23 | $4,994 | −$3,643 | -73% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | May 21 | $14,231 | +$485 | +3% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | May 18 | $25,534 | +$1,132 | +4% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | May 16 | $4,030 | +$3,839 | +95% |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30? | May 11 | $285 | −$285 | -100% |
| UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | May 11 | $118 | −$118 | -100% |
| UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves? | May 10 | $11 | +$51 | +442% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | May 05 | $17,144 | +$1,681 | +10% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | Apr 17 | $15,097 | +$2,047 | +14% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | Apr 16 | $3,000 | −$111 | -4% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Apr 16 | $6,000 | +$260 | +4% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Apr 15 | $1,000 | −$139 | -14% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Apr 15 | $4,421 | +$667 | +15% |