| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? |
Jun 10 |
$586 |
+$124 |
+21% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? |
May 26 |
$250 |
+$10 |
+4% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? |
May 24 |
$285 |
+$126 |
+44% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? |
May 18 |
$400 |
+$6 |
+2% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? |
May 18 |
$102 |
+$19 |
+18% |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026? |
May 13 |
$206 |
+$116 |
+56% |
| ECB rate hike in 2026? |
May 13 |
$330 |
+$28 |
+8% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meet |
May 12 |
$190 |
+$38 |
+20% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
May 12 |
$802 |
+$29 |
+4% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? |
May 10 |
$384 |
+$136 |
+35% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? |
May 10 |
$370 |
+$133 |
+36% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
May 04 |
$388 |
+$62 |
+16% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
May 03 |
$67 |
+$36 |
+53% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra |
May 03 |
$342 |
+$89 |
+26% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026? |
Apr 21 |
$250 |
+$59 |
+24% |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? |
Apr 20 |
$70 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? |
Apr 20 |
$159 |
−$17 |
-11% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026? |
Apr 20 |
$1,349 |
−$20 |
-2% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? |
Apr 19 |
$90 |
+$32 |
+36% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? |
Apr 19 |
$1,230 |
+$121 |
+10% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026? |
Apr 17 |
$250 |
−$156 |
-62% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting? |
Apr 17 |
$1,232 |
+$504 |
+41% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Apr 17 |
$670 |
+$20 |
+3% |
| Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting? |
Apr 17 |
$142 |
+$78 |
+55% |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? |
Apr 12 |
$141 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting? |
Apr 06 |
$73 |
+$1 |
+2% |
| Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation? |
Apr 02 |
$100 |
+$21 |
+21% |
| Will Trump say "Proxy" or "Hezbollah" during Address to the Nation? |
Apr 02 |
$25 |
+$10 |
+41% |
| Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation? |
Apr 02 |
$40 |
+$10 |
+25% |
| Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Natio |
Apr 01 |
$70 |
−$70 |
-100% |
| Will Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation? |
Apr 01 |
$25 |
−$25 |
-100% |
| Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation? |
Apr 01 |
$150 |
−$150 |
-100% |
| Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? |
Apr 01 |
$50 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026? |
Apr 01 |
$250 |
+$49 |
+20% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31? |
Apr 01 |
$941 |
+$59 |
+6% |
| U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31? |
Apr 01 |
$249 |
+$51 |
+20% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31? |
Apr 01 |
$223 |
−$1 |
-0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? |
Apr 01 |
$695 |
+$236 |
+34% |
| Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31? |
Apr 01 |
$250 |
+$99 |
+40% |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? |
Apr 01 |
$681 |
+$29 |
+4% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30? |
Mar 29 |
$290 |
−$90 |
-31% |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? |
Mar 26 |
$400 |
$0 |
-0% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? |
Mar 25 |
$141 |
$0 |
+0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? |
Mar 25 |
$162 |
+$8 |
+5% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee |
Mar 25 |
$24 |
−$10 |
-42% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia |
Mar 22 |
$360 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? |
Mar 21 |
$163 |
−$61 |
-37% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? |
Mar 18 |
$405 |
+$20 |
+5% |
| Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026? |
Mar 18 |
$34 |
−$17 |
-48% |
| Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31? |
Mar 18 |
$574 |
+$49 |
+9% |