Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:05:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

49
0x4979…bd15
crypto · 745 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$90 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$90 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$90
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses721 / 23
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)744 / 745
History coverage5d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day523.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 0 History 744 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$228
7 days−$90
14 days−$90
30 days−$90
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $13 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $21 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $13 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $21 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +1%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $132 −$260 -197%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $14 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $35 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $33 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $24 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 71% +$18
other 27% −$135
sports 2% +$28
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $7 16m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 21m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 21m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $8 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $7 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $7 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $6 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 744 -0.5% -10.0% 97% 0% -9.3%
≤30d 744 -0.5% -10.0% 97% 0% -9.3%
≤90d 744 -0.5% -10.0% 97% 0% -9.3%
all 744 -0.5% -10.0% 97% 0% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover523.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 0% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 0% -18.0%
15% -26.4% 0% -25.9%
20% -33.7% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records