trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +3.2% | -6.7% | 67% | 67% | +23.1% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -9.1% | -17.8% | 56% | 56% | +10.9% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -9.1% | -17.8% | 56% | 56% | +10.9% |
| all | 18 | -15.8% | -23.8% | 44% | 39% | +10.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -23.8% | 39% | +10.6% |
| 10% | -31.1% | 28% | +0.1% |
| 15% | -37.8% | 22% | -9.6% |
| 20% | -43.9% | 17% | -18.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $1,019 | +$1,048 | +103% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $11 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 22? | Jun 22 | $7 | +$4 | +59% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $103 | −$103 | -100% |
| Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $3,026 | +$1,150 | +38% |
| Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $3,421 | +$646 | +19% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $995 | −$646 | -65% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $199 | −$101 | -51% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $100 | +$14 | +14% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | Mar 25 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | Mar 25 | $6 | $0 | +7% |
| Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Mar 25 | $6 | $0 | -6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 23? | Mar 25 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on March 23? | Mar 25 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C or below on March 23? | Mar 23 | $5 | +$1 | +24% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or higher on March 22? | Mar 22 | $10 | +$7 | +75% |
| Will Backpack launch a token on March 23? | Mar 21 | $10 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 21? | Mar 21 | $5 | $0 | -1% |