Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T00:20:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
49 0x4975…6e97 crypto 230 markets active 1h ago coverage 51d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$0 (+0%) realized +$0 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -12% what you keep after slip
Net edge-12%after slip
Net WR14%break-even
Win rate84%193W / 37L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day5.2pace
Kalshi-fit83%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days−$20
14 days−$5
30 days−$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 81% −$11
other 19% +$5
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 73 +0.4% -9.2% 99% 0% -12.1%
≤30d 189 -0.5% -10.0% 90% 7% -10.3%
≤90d 230 +0.6% -9.0% 84% 14% -9.8%
all 230 +0.6% -9.0% 84% 14% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover5.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.0% 14% -9.8%
10% -17.7% 14% -18.4%
15% -25.6% 14% -26.3%
20% -32.9% 12% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
82% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$4 · ×0.18 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.96 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

51d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses193 / 37
Open positions0
Markets (closed)230 / 230
History coverage51d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day5.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 230 Trades
no open positions (34 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 25 $29 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 25 $29 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 25 $29 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 25, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 25 $8 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 25 $8 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 25 $8 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 25 $8 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 25, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 25 $6 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 25 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 25 $7 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 25 $7 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 25, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 25 $7 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 25 $6 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 25 $6 $0 +5%
BNB Up or Down - June 24, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 24 $6 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 24, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 24, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 23 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 23 $9 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 23 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 23 $8 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 22 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 22 $8 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 22 $8 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 22 $6 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 22 $6 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 22 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 21 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 21 $6 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 21 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 21 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 21 $6 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 21 $6 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 21 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 21 $6 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 21 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 21 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 20 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 20 $6 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 20 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 7PM ET Jun 20 $6 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 19 $6 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $29 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $29 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $29 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 25, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $8 5h
BNB Up or Down - June 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $8 6h
BNB Up or Down - June 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $8 7h
BNB Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $8 8h
BNB Up or Down - June 25, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 8h
BNB Up or Down - June 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $7 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 11h
BNB Up or Down - June 25, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $7 11h
BNB Up or Down - June 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 18h
BNB Up or Down - June 24, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $6 24h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 26h
BNB Up or Down - June 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 26h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 26h
BNB Up or Down - June 24, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 27h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 27h
BNB Up or Down - June 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 33h
BNB Up or Down - June 24, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 47h
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $9 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $9 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $9 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $8 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $8 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 448 history records