Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:02:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

49
0x4974…59b9
crypto · 851 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$74 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$74 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$74
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses646 / 205
Open positions0
Markets (closed)851 / 851
History coverage2d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day999.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 851 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$74
7 days−$74
14 days−$74
30 days−$74
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$6 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$7 -82%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$6 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$7 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$7 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$74
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $6 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $6 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $6 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $3 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $6 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $6 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $6 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $6 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $6 33m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +75%
net ROI/market (all)-8.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 851 +1.3% -8.4% 76% 75% -12.1%
≤30d 851 +1.3% -8.4% 76% 75% -12.1%
≤90d 851 +1.3% -8.4% 76% 75% -12.1%
all 851 +1.3% -8.4% 76% 75% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover999.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.4% 75% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here -17.1% 47% -20.5%
15% -25.1% 6% -28.2%
20% -32.5% 1% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2830 history records