Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:48:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

49
0x4946…dae5
crypto · 90 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses84 / 5
Open positions1
Markets (closed)89 / 90
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day140.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 89 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 96¢ 88¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $3 49m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 50m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 54m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 89 +0.1% -9.4% 94% 13% -9.8%
≤30d 89 +0.1% -9.4% 94% 13% -9.8%
≤90d 89 +0.1% -9.4% 94% 13% -9.8%
all 89 +0.1% -9.4% 94% 13% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover140.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 13% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.1% 0% -18.4%
15% -26.0% 0% -26.3%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.84 · official $1.03 (match) · 224 history records